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Belgium U19 vs Lithuania U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Da Costa W.
10'
Sub
Krot R. In: Leipus B.
Out: Krot R.
30'
Mirisola R.

AI Match Summary

Belgium U19 in this Euro U19 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Belgium U19
20%
Draws
23%
Lithuania U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgium U19 have won more games recently than Lithuania U19.
  • Model gives Belgium U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belgium U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Belgium U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U19 Lithuania U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Euro U19
Belgium U19 vs Lithuania U19
4:1
Mar 23, 2024 Euro U19
Belgium U19 vs Lithuania U19
2:0
Nov 14, 2018 Euro U19
Lithuania U19 vs Belgium U19
0:5
Mar 31, 2015 Euro U19
Lithuania U19 vs Belgium U19
2:2
Aug 8, 2012 Friendly International
Belgium U19 vs Lithuania U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Meyer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lithuania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jancauskas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U19 59 / 100
Lithuania U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U19 Lithuania U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lithuania U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Belgium U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U19 VS Lithuania U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U19

(Home)
05 Oct
England U19
0 : 1
Belgium U19
02 Oct
Belgium U19
2 : 1
Northern Ireland U19
24 Sept
Netherlands U19
1 : 1
Belgium U19
31 Mar
Slovenia U19
0 : 3
Belgium U19
31 Mar
Latvia U19
2 : 1
Belgium U19
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U19

(Away)
02 Oct
Albania U19
2 : 1
Lithuania U19
30 Sept
Albania U19
3 : 2
Lithuania U19
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Ukraine U19 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cyprus U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Lithuania U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Turkey U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Malta U19 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Wales U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Scotland U19 3 1 1 1 4:1 4
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Finland U19 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Iceland U19 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Moldova U19 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Azerbaijan U19 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Montenegro U19 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Greece U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Georgia U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Estonia U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Sweden U19 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
2 Spain U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Israel U19 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Luxembourg U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 North Macedonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Croatia U19 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams