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Belgium U19 W vs Ireland U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belgium U19 W play Ireland U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belgium U19 W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Ireland U19 W averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Belgium U19 W won 1, Ireland U19 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 29, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Belgium U19 W and 1.44 for Ireland U19 W. This points to a Belgium U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Belgium U19 W
24%
Draws
35%
Ireland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Belgium U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Belgium U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Ireland U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Belgium U19 W Clean Sheet 16%
Ireland U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U19 W Ireland U19 W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belgium U19 W vs Ireland U19 W
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belgium U19 W vs Ireland U19 W
0:2
Oct 25, 2023 Euro U19 Women
Belgium U19 W vs Ireland U19 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Careel O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ireland U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Reilly K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U19 W 40 / 100
Ireland U19 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U19 W Ireland U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belgium U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belgium U19 W attacking → ← attacking Ireland U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgium U19 W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Ireland U19 W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Belgium U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ireland U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 43
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00