Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belgium U21 vs Austria U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Smets M.
48'
Vermant R.
57'
Schuster J.

AI Match Summary

Belgium U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Belgium U21
15%
Draws
37%
Austria U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Austria U21 have won more games recently than Belgium U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Austria U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Austria U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U21 Austria U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Austria U21
1:0
Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Austria U21 vs Belgium U21
1:0
Nov 16, 2007 Euro U21
Austria U21 vs Belgium U21
3:2
Sep 7, 2007 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Austria U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vermeeren A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Austria U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U21 41 / 100
Austria U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U21 Austria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belgium U21 scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Austria U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Belgium U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U21 VS Austria U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 6

Austria U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Austria U21
2 : 1
Belarus U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)