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Belgium U21 vs Wales U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
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Match Events

7' Event
Bassette N.
Assist: Vermant R.
35'
Bassette N.
37'
Cox D.

AI Match Summary

Belgium U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Belgium U21
15%
Draws
34%
Wales U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium U21 lately — more wins on the board than Wales U21.
  • Win probability leans Belgium U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belgium U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U21 Wales U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Wales U21
1:0
Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belgium U21
0:7
Oct 9, 2020 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Wales U21
5:0
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belgium U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Wales U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U21 67 / 100
Wales U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U21 Wales U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Belgium U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Wales U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Belgium U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U21 VS Wales U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U21

(Home)
29 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Wales U21
24 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Belarus U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 6

Wales U21

(Away)
29 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Wales U21
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)