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Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Belgium U23 W and Portugal U23 W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Belgium U23 W
33%
Draws
40%
Portugal U23 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portugal U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belgium U23 W come out ahead of Portugal U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portugal U23 W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U23 W Portugal U23 W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
0:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
2:2
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Portugal U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U23 W 28 / 100
Portugal U23 W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U23 W Portugal U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portugal U23 W conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Portugal U23 W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Belgium U23 W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U23 W VS Portugal U23 W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%