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Belgium U23 W vs Spain U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gonzalez E. In: Arias A.
Out: Gonzalez E.
46'
Sub
Martinez Salinas A. In: Vignola O.
Out: Martinez Salinas A.
55'
Perez M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Belgium U23 W and Spain U23 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belgium U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Belgium U23 W
15%
Draws
85%
Spain U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U23 W come out ahead of Belgium U23 W on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Spain U23 W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain U23 W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 16%
Spain U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belgium U23 W Spain U23 W
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.84 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:0
Apr 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:0
Nov 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Spain U23 W
1:2
Feb 17, 2022 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Spain U23 W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fon W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Spain U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgium U23 W 10 / 100
Spain U23 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belgium U23 W Spain U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U23 W let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Belgium U23 W scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Spain U23 W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Belgium U23 W VS Spain U23 W
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Belgium U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Germany U23 W
2 : 1
Belgium U23 W
06 Mar
Germany U23 W
4 : 2
Belgium U23 W
02 Mar
Belgium U23 W
1 : 3
Sweden U23 W
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Spain U23 W

(Away)
29 May
Spain U23 W
2 : 3
Sweden U23 W
06 Apr
Spain U23 W
3 : 4
Sweden U23 W
03 Apr
Spain U23 W
2 : 1
England U23 W
25 Feb
Spain U23 W
3 : 0
Denmark U23 W
20 Feb
Spain U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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