Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025

Social Atletico Television

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgrano Zarate play Social Atletico Television in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belgrano Zarate averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Social Atletico Television averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. In past meetings, Belgrano Zarate won 0, Social Atletico Television won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 22, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.25 for Belgrano Zarate and 1.25 for Social Atletico Television. This points to a Social Atletico Television double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Belgrano Zarate

35%

Draws

44%

Social Atletico Television

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Social Atletico Television

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Belgrano Zarate picked up more points recently compared to Social Atletico Television.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.25 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 53%

Over 2.5 Goals 19%

Over 3.5 Goals 11%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 19%

Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 26%

First Half Goal 48%

Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belgrano Zarate	Social Atletico Television
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	17
Draws	14	6
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	0.59	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.14	0.62
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur

Social Atletico Television vs Belgrano Zarate

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Aug 28, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur

Belgrano Zarate vs Social Atletico Television

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Oct 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur

Social Atletico Television vs Belgrano Zarate

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

May 18, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur

Belgrano Zarate vs Social Atletico Television

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belgrano Zarate 23 / 100

Social Atletico Television 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belgrano Zarate Social Atletico Television

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Social Atletico Television or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +46.1%

7.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belgrano Zarate attacking → ← attacking Social Atletico Television

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belgrano Zarate scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Social Atletico Television let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Belgrano Zarate went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Social Atletico Television lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 57

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ezeiza	10	6	2	2	16:5	20
2	Social Atletico Television	10	6	2	2	13:7	20
3	Defensores de Glew	10	5	2	3	23:12	17
4	Belgrano Zarate	10	2	6	2	7:11	12
5	Estrella de Berisso	10	2	1	7	7:16	7
6	Atletico Pilar	10	1	3	6	4:19	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Metalurgico	10	6	2	2	14:4	20
2	Barrancas	10	5	3	2	11:12	18
3	Nautico Hacoaj	10	5	2	3	17:6	17
4	Everton La Plata	10	3	2	5	11:10	11
5	Provincial	10	2	3	5	7:20	9
6	Juventud de Bernal	10	2	2	6	9:17	8