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Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Polanco J.
Assist: Leslie R. T.
40' Event
Hernandez M.
57' Event
Lopez K.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Belize and Turks and Caicos Islands finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belize.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Belize
15%
Draws
21%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belize

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Belize carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Belize's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Belize have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Belize Clean Sheet 68%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belize Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.53 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Belize
0:4
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belize Compare

Top Goalscorer Polanco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belize 95 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belize Turks and Caicos Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belize Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Belize found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Belize remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belize VS Turks and Caicos Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 0.2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Belize

(Home)
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
Page 1 of 6

Turks and Caicos Islands

(Away)
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
16 Oct
Belize
3 : 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
2 : 1
Anguilla
07 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 4
Belize
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barbados 4 4 0 0 17:4 12
2 Bahamas 4 1 1 2 10:13 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belize 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Anguilla 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Cayman Islands 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
3 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams