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Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belize play Turks and Caicos Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League. Belize are favorites here. Recently, Belize averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Turks and Caicos Islands averaged 1.14 goals scored and 3.48 conceded. In past meetings, Belize won 3, Turks and Caicos Islands won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.08 for Belize and 1.11 for Turks and Caicos Islands. This points to a Belize double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Belize
15%
Draws
27%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belize

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Belize picked up more points recently compared to Turks and Caicos Islands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.08 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Belize Clean Sheet 21%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belize Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.37 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.6 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Belize
0:4
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Belize vs Turks and Caicos Islands
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belize Compare

Top Goalscorer Polanco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belize 56 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belize Turks and Caicos Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belize Win (1)
Secondary Pick Belize & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belize attacking → ← attacking Turks and Caicos Islands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belize scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Turks and Caicos Islands let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Belize went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turks and Caicos Islands lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 24
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.60
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.40

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barbados440017:412
2Bahamas411210:134
3United States Virgin Islands40134:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belize44009:012
2Anguilla41033:43
3Turks and Caicos Islands41032:103
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis431010:310
2Cayman Islands42114:57
3British Virgin Islands40041:70