Sport Picks

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Bella Vista vs Potencia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Estadio José Nasazzi, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lerman T.
62' Event
Andrade F.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2023 game between Bella Vista and Potencia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bella Vista
33%
Draws
40%
Potencia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Potencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bella Vista carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Potencia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bella Vista Clean Sheet 18%
Potencia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bella Vista Potencia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2023 Segunda Division
Bella Vista vs Potencia
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Bella Vista
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Bella Vista
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bella Vista Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerman T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bella Vista 28 / 100
Potencia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bella Vista Potencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Potencia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bella Vista found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bella Vista VS Potencia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bella Vista

(Home)
09 Sept
Bella Vista
1 : 2
Central Esp.
27 Aug
Bella Vista
1 : 0
Juventud
03 Dec
Juventud
3 : 0
Bella Vista
29 Nov
Bella Vista
1 : 1
Atenas
26 Nov
Rampla Juniors
2 : 0
Bella Vista
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Potencia

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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