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Bellinzona vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Aguilar J.
62' Event
Bega I.

AI Match Summary

Bavois in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bavois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Bellinzona
20%
Draws
74%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Bellinzona haven't matched Bavois's recent run of results.
  • Bavois are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bellinzona Clean Sheet 10%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bellinzona Bavois
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Bavois
0:2
Apr 16, 2022 Promotion League
Bavois vs Bellinzona
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Bavois
2:0
May 9, 2021 Promotion League
Bellinzona vs Bavois
0:0
Apr 28, 2021 Promotion League
Bavois vs Bellinzona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bellinzona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bega I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 10 / 100
Bavois 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bellinzona Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bellinzona scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bellinzona went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS Bavois
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.71 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bellinzona

(Home)
01 Aug
Bellinzona
0 : 2
Bavois
15 May
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 2
Bellinzona
11 May
Bellinzona
2 : 4
Wil
08 May
Lausanne Ouchy
5 : 0
Bellinzona
03 May
Bellinzona
2 : 4
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 7

Bavois

(Away)
01 Aug
Bellinzona
0 : 2
Bavois
25 Jul
La Sarraz-Eclepens
0 : 8
Bavois
22 Jul
Echallens
0 : 0
Bavois
18 Jul
Bavois
1 : 0
Meyrin
15 Jul
Bavois
2 : 1
Chenois
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grand-Saconnex 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Bruhl SG 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Schaffhausen 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Biel 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Bulle 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
6 Bavois 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
7 Luzern II 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Paradiso 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Young Boys II 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 FC Kreuzlingen 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Cham 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Amical Saint-Prex 2 1 0 1 1:6 3
13 Breitenrain 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Zurich II 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Basel II 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
16 Bellinzona 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
17 Young Fellows Juventus 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
18 Lugano II 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)