Sport Picks

Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Bellinzona

Bellinzona

2 - 4

Rapperswil-Jona

Our Tip

Match Events

Sow C.

Assist: Luthi J.

Rossier E.

Assist: Goncalves M.

Ryter Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rapperswil-Jona in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapperswil-Jona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bellinzona

39%

Draws

30%

Rapperswil-Jona

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Rapperswil-Jona have won more games recently than Bellinzona.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Bellinzona Clean Sheet 20%

Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bellinzona	Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	13
Draws	4	2
Losses	21	14
Goals Scored	1.63	2.25
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Challenge League

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:4

Feb 20, 2026 Challenge League

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Nov 28, 2025 Challenge League

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sep 13, 2025 Challenge League

Bellinzona vs Rapperswil-Jona

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 30, 2022 Promotion League

Rapperswil-Jona vs Bellinzona

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bellinzona Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossier E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vogt W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ryter Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bellinzona 32 / 100

Rapperswil-Jona 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bellinzona Rapperswil-Jona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bellinzona scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Bellinzona remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bellinzona VS Rapperswil-Jona

1.63 Goals Scored 2.25

2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vaduz	36	25	6	5	75:41	81
2	Aarau	36	25	5	6	77:47	80
3	Yverdon	36	20	7	9	75:48	67
4	Lausanne Ouchy	36	14	8	14	59:51	50
5	Xamax	36	14	7	15	55:56	49
6	Rapperswil-Jona	36	14	2	20	52:62	44
7	Etoile-Carouge	36	10	10	16	46:54	40
8	Wil	36	10	10	16	39:55	40
9	Stade Nyonnais	36	5	13	18	33:60	28
10	Bellinzona	36	5	8	23	40:77	23