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Belmont Swansea United vs Edgeworth Eagles FC

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval
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Match Events

13' Event
Gueli M.
47' Event
Goodman F.
51' Event
Niyonkuru A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Belmont Swansea United and Edgeworth Eagles FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belmont Swansea United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Belmont Swansea United
28%
Draws
22%
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Belmont Swansea United haven't matched Edgeworth Eagles FC's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Belmont Swansea United taking it.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 14%
Edgeworth Eagles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belmont Swansea United Edgeworth Eagles FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
4:3
Jun 25, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Belmont Swansea United
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Edgeworth Eagles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodman F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niyonkuru A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 48 / 100
Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belmont Swansea United Edgeworth Eagles FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Edgeworth Eagles FC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Belmont Swansea United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS Edgeworth Eagles FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Weston Workers Bears19113544:3136
3Maitland18103534:2833
4Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1964935:3022
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah18421228:4614
12Charlestown Azzurri18421224:4914