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Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval
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AI Match Summary

Belmont Swansea United play Kahibah in the NPL Northern NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belmont Swansea United averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Kahibah averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Belmont Swansea United won 4, Kahibah won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 6:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Belmont Swansea United and 1.56 for Kahibah. This points to a Belmont Swansea United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Belmont Swansea United
15%
Draws
42%
Kahibah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Belmont Swansea United picked up more points recently compared to Kahibah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 15%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belmont Swansea United Kahibah
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.97 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
6:3
Jul 10, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
0:2
Apr 24, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Newton R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Burston J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Homer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 42 / 100
Kahibah 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belmont Swansea United Kahibah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belmont Swansea United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belmont Swansea United attacking → ← attacking Kahibah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Kahibah let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Belmont Swansea United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kahibah lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 47
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC17114247:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Newcastle Olympic1746732:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
10Valentine1744915:3416
11Kahibah16421024:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414