Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval

Belmont Swansea United

3 - 4

Maitland

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Gueli M.

34'

Gueli M.

35'

McGee A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Belmont Swansea United and Maitland finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maitland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Belmont Swansea United

20%

Draws

38%

Maitland

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Maitland has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Belmont Swansea United.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Belmont Swansea United.
League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 16%

Maitland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Belmont Swansea United	Maitland
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	14
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	2.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Maitland vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Mar 7, 2026 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Maitland

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

3:4

Aug 13, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Maitland vs Belmont Swansea United

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Jul 16, 2025 NPL Northern NSW

Belmont Swansea United vs Maitland

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueli M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader McGee A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer Crowley B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Collins I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 41 / 100

Maitland 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Belmont Swansea United Maitland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Maitland let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Belmont Swansea United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maitland lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS Maitland

2.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic FC	18	12	4	2	49:22	40
2	Belmont Swansea United	17	9	5	3	40:30	32
3	Weston Workers Bears	17	9	3	5	34:29	30
4	Maitland	17	9	3	5	33:28	30
5	Edgeworth Eagles FC	17	8	5	4	34:29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36:31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas FC	18	6	4	8	35:29	22
8	Valentine	18	5	4	9	18:36	19
9	Newcastle Olympic	18	4	6	8	33:32	18
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25:36	17
11	Kahibah	17	4	2	11	26:41	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	17	4	2	11	24:44	14