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Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Blacksmiths Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lachman W.
37' Event
Muller J.
51' Event
Gueli M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Belmont Swansea United and Newcastle Olympic finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Belmont Swansea United
39%
Draws
31%
Newcastle Olympic
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Olympic haven't matched Belmont Swansea United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 11%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belmont Swansea United Newcastle Olympic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Newcastle Olympic
2:3
Jun 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kable J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Lachman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muller J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belmont Swansea United 29 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belmont Swansea United Newcastle Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Olympic conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Belmont Swansea United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belmont Swansea United VS Newcastle Olympic
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah17421126:4114
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414