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Belo Jardim vs Cha Grande

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2022 game between Belo Jardim and Cha Grande finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belo Jardim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Belo Jardim
6%
Draws
4%
Cha Grande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belo Jardim come out ahead of Cha Grande on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Belo Jardim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belo Jardim have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 20%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belo Jardim Cha Grande
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
0:3
Sep 25, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Cha Grande
3:0
May 1, 2013 Pernambucano
Belo Jardim vs Cha Grande
1:2
Mar 17, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
1:2
Feb 17, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs Belo Jardim
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belo Jardim 85 / 100
Cha Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belo Jardim Cha Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belo Jardim scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Cha Grande has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Belo Jardim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Belo Jardim VS Cha Grande
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180