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Belo Jardim vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Belo Jardim host Vera Cruz in the Pernambucano 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vera Cruz have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Belo Jardim have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Belo Jardim slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Belo Jardim. Belo Jardim in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Belo Jardim
6%
Draws
4%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Belo Jardim has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vera Cruz.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Belo Jardim.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pernambucano 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 20%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belo Jardim Vera Cruz
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Vera Cruz
2:0
Nov 3, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
1:0
Mar 11, 2007 Pernambucano
Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim
0:0
Jan 21, 2007 Pernambucano
Belo Jardim vs Vera Cruz
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belo Jardim 85 / 100
Vera Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belo Jardim Vera Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belo Jardim scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Vera Cruz let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Belo Jardim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vera Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belo Jardim VS Vera Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182