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Belper Town vs Burton

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Austin L.
38' Event
Rawson L.
70' Event
Rawson L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Belper Town and Burton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belper Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Belper Town
15%
Draws
59%
Burton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Burton haven't matched Belper Town's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 20%
Burton Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belper Town Burton
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Belper Town vs Burton
3:0
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Belper Town vs Burton
2:4
Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Belper Town vs Burton
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belper Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Rawson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Austin L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Burton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belper Town 36 / 100
Burton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belper Town Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Belper Town scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Burton conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Belper Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belper Town VS Burton
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Belper Town

(Home)
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
11 Jul
Barwell
3 : 1
Belper Town
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Burton

(Away)
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2
Burton
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1
Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2
Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0
Derby
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