Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Belper Town vs Newcastle Town

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Belper Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Belper Town
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belper Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belper Town come out ahead of Newcastle Town on wins alone.
  • Model gives Belper Town a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Belper Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Belper Town, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belper Town have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belper Town Newcastle Town
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy
Belper Town vs Newcastle Town
2:1
Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Belper Town vs Newcastle Town
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Newcastle Town vs Belper Town
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belper Town 76 / 100
Newcastle Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belper Town Newcastle Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belper Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Town conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Difficult form: Newcastle Town registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Belper Town VS Newcastle Town
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Belper Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Town

(Away)
19 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
15 Jul
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Avro 2
Winterton Rangers 1
Trafford 1
Stalybridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Bootle 6
Consett 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 2
Ossett United 1
Prescot Cables 4
Bridlington Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge 0
Nantwich 3
Dunston 3
Ashington 0
Lancaster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
1874 Northwich 1
Runcorn Linnets 0
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Cleethorpes 0
Sheffield FC 2
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 2
Hebburn Town 1
Widnes FC 0
Clitheroe 1
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mossley AFC 0
Vauxhall 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
Stocksbridge 3
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Coventry Sphinx 0
Bedworth United 1
Leek Town 5
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TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Lye Town 1
Biggleswade FC 3
Stowmarket Town 1
Hadley 4
Ware 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 2
Corby 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Rugby 1
Grantham Town 5
Kings Langley 1
Cambridge City 2
Leighton Town 3
Kempston 1
Stafford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gresley 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 6
Sporting Khalsa 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Gorleston 1
Aylesbury United 2
Bedford 3
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 0
Hednesford 0
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 1
Carlton Town 5
Chasetown 5
Shepshed 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Broadbridge Heath 0
Cray Valley 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Hartley Wintney 1
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 4
Littlehampton 1
Raynes Park Vale 0
Marlow 1
Southall FC 2
Chichester City 1
Herne Bay 1
Leatherhead 6
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable -
East Thurrock Utd -
Wroxham 2
Brightlingsea 4
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Thame United 0
Badshot Lea 5
Merstham 0
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Redbridge 1
Stotfold 0
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
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Phoenix Sports 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Ashford United 7
Binfield 1
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 6
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Heybridge 3
Barton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Basildon 5
Lowestoft 5
New Salamis FC 3
South Park 2
Erith & Belvedere 1
Beckenham Town 1
Three Bridges 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanworth Villa 1
Chertsey Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 2
Bury Town 3
Enfield FC -
Walthamstow FC -
Ramsgate 3
Northwood 0
Uxbridge 1
Sevenoaks 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Sheppey United 1
Sittingbourne 2
Ashford Town 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Brentwood 0
Hertford Town 3
Grays 2
Whitehawk -
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Horndean 2
Ascot United 3
Chipstead 2
Lancing 4
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
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TBD -
Cribbs 3
Bideford 2
Evesham 1
Bashley 2
Poole Town -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Sholing -
Basingstoke -
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TBD -
Kidlington 2
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 4
Wimborne 3
Bishops Cleeve 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Thatcham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Westbury United 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 5
Frome Town 3
Cirencester 1
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 3
Melksham 0
Larkhall 2
Willand Rovers 0
Malvern Town 2
Mousehole 4
Yate 0
Tavistock 2
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
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TBD -
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Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
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TBD -
Hungerford -
Semi-finals
Avro 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 0
Bootle 2
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 3
Prescot Cables 2
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Dunston 1
Lancaster -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 2
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Sheffield FC 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 3
Clitheroe 2
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
Vauxhall 0
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Leek Town 2
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR 0
Harborough 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Hadley 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 3
Loughborough Dynamo 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Grantham Town 1
Cambridge City 0
Leighton Town 2
Stafford -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Sporting Khalsa 4
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bedford 1
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Belper Town 1
Walsall Wood 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Carlton Town 2
Chasetown 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
Cray Valley 2
Hartley Wintney 0
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 2
Marlow 1
Southall FC 1
Leatherhead 3
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Brightlingsea 3
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Badshot Lea 5
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 2
Redbridge 3
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police 1
Ashford United 2
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 1
Heybridge 5
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 4
South Park 2
Three Bridges 1
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Chertsey Town 2
Hythe 4
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
Bury Town 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ramsgate 3
Sevenoaks 1
Sheppey United 2
Sittingbourne 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Hertford Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
Ascot United 6
Lancing 2
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
TBD -
Cribbs 4
Bashley 3
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Kidlington 2
Exmouth Town 1
Bishops Cleeve 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Frome Town 3
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 3
Tavistock 0
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Final
Avro 4
Warrington Rylands 0
Bootle 0
Bamber Bridge 2
North Ferriby FC 4
Atherton Collieries 0
Bradford PA 0
Nantwich 1
Lancaster 0
City Of Liverpool 1
Hanley Town 0
Macclesfield 1
Morpeth 1
United of Manchester 4
Ashton United 2
Brighouse Town 1
Workington 1
Hyde 3
Radcliffe 3
Whitby 2
Gainsborough 1
Guiseley 3
Worksop 2
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United 2
Marine 4
Quorn 2
Telford 0
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 4
Stratford 1
Basford Utd. 0
Redditch 2
Leamington 1
Harborough 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Barwell 2
Mickleover 3
St Ives Town 3
Kettering 2
Bromsgrove 0
Halesowen 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Alvechurch 1
Royston Town 1
Coalville Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Leighton Town 3
Stafford 3
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hitchin 2
Stamford 3
Matlock 1
Bedford 0
Ilkeston 2
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 0
Carshalton 1
Cray Valley 2
Hendon 3
Sudbury 1
Westfield 3
Leatherhead 1
Leiston 2
Hornchurch 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Canvey Island 1
Chesham 4
Enfield Town 3
Bognor Regis 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Horsham FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Harrow Borough 1
Margate 0
Cheshunt 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Badshot Lea 0
Redbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 3
Ashford United 0
Potters 4
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 0
Cray Wanderers 1
Hanwell Town 1
Bracknell Town 2
Heybridge 1
Chatham 2
Lewes 4
Lowestoft 1
South Park 2
Hashtag 0
Concord Rangers 2
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Bury Town 1
Ramsgate 4
Sheppey United 1
Hastings 1
Kingstonian 2
Billericay 4
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Whitehawk 2
Ascot United 0
Folkestone 2
Haringey Borough 3
Didcot 1
Cribbs 2
Poole Town 3
Sholing 1
Basingstoke 3
Kidlington 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Frome Town 5
Swindon Supermarine 3
Tiverton 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 0
Gosport Borough 3
Salisbury 2
Merthyr Town 3
Dorchester 1
AFC Totton 2
Plymouth Parkway 1
Winchester City 3
Hungerford 5