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Stadium Background

Belshina vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Spartak Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Belshina play Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Belshina averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Vitebsk averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Belshina won 1, Vitebsk won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Belshina and 1.50 for Vitebsk. This points to a Belshina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Belshina
35%
Draws
31%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belshina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Belshina picked up more points recently compared to Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Belshina Clean Sheet 16%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Belshina Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Vitebsk
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Belshina
2:2
Apr 22, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Vitebsk
2:2
Sep 19, 2020 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Belshina
1:1
May 17, 2020 Vysshaya Liga
Belshina vs Vitebsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Belshina Compare

Top Goalscorer Shvedchikov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitebsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Belshina 34 / 100
Vitebsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Belshina Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belshina or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Belshina attacking → ← attacking Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belshina scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Belshina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vitebsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 32
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316