Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bembibre vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gonzalez I.
67' Event
Montenegro Olivar R.
82' Event
Arias M.

AI Match Summary

Bembibre in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bembibre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bembibre
20%
Draws
0%
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bembibre have won more games recently than CD Laguna (Valladolid).
  • Bembibre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%
CD Laguna (Valladolid) Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre CD Laguna (Valladolid)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.1 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs Bembibre
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs Bembibre
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CD Laguna (Valladolid) Compare

Top Goalscorer Montenegro Olivar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 95 / 100
CD Laguna (Valladolid) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre CD Laguna (Valladolid)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembibre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Laguna (Valladolid)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

CD Laguna (Valladolid) lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bembibre found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
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CD Laguna (Valladolid)

(Away)
10 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 3
Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
01 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 4
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)