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Bembibre vs Mansilles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Lopes I. R.
90' Event
Celada R.
90' Event
Xifre P. E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Bembibre and Mansilles finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bembibre
30%
Draws
37%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mansilles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mansilles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 17%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre Mansilles
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Bembibre
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Mansilles
0:0
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Bembibre
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Celada R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xifre P. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 28 / 100
Mansilles 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bembibre scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bembibre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mansilles let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS Mansilles
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)