Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bembibre vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Contreras O.
57'
Allah El Hazzazi F.
57'
Allah El Hazzazi F.

AI Match Summary

Bembibre in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bembibre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Bembibre
30%
Draws
8%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Bembibre average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Numancia B's 0.77.
  • Model gives Bembibre a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre Numancia B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Numancia B
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Bembibre
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Bembibre
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Numancia B
1:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Numancia B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 95 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bembibre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Bembibre found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Bembibre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS Numancia B
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)