Sport Picks
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Lorenzo A.
59'
59'
Arias M.
79'
79'
Alonso D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bembibre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bembibre haven't matched Santa Marta Tormes's recent run of results.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bembibre | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Bembibre
2:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Bembibre
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bembibre Compare
Top Goalscorer Lorenzo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galvan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bembibre 31 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bembibre Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bembibre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bembibre found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Santa Marta Tormes has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Bembibre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bembibre VS Santa Marta Tormes
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bembibre
(Home) 04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2 Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1 Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2 Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1 Mirandes B
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0 La Virgen
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
Page 1 of 4
Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
