Sport Picks
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Lorenzo A.
59'
59'
Arias M.
79'
79'
Alonso D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bembibre haven't matched Santa Marta Tormes's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Bembibre taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bembibre | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Bembibre
2:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Bembibre
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bembibre Compare
Top Goalscorer Lorenzo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galvan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bembibre 34 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bembibre Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bembibre found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bembibre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Santa Marta Tormes let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bembibre VS Santa Marta Tormes
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bembibre
(Home) 10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1 Bembibre
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
18 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 2 Bembibre
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1 Becerril
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
28 Mar
Bembibre
1 : 1 Mansilles
14 Mar
Bembibre
2 : 0 Numancia B
28 Feb
Bembibre
1 : 0 Villaralbo
Page 1 of 4
Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
16 May
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Guijuelo
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
02 May
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Palencia CF
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 7
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
11 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
03 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 3 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
