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Bembibre vs Villaralbo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Contreras O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Bembibre and Villaralbo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bembibre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bembibre
30%
Draws
31%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Villaralbo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bembibre a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 14%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bembibre Villaralbo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Bembibre
0:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Bembibre
4:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Villaralbo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Villaralbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bembibre 41 / 100
Villaralbo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bembibre Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bembibre scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Villaralbo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bembibre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bembibre VS Villaralbo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bembibre

(Home)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
Palencia CF
4 : 1
Bembibre
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Villaralbo

(Away)
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)