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Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
El Islem T.
33' Event
Loulendo J.
45'
Mounguide G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Ben Guerdane and CS Sfaxien finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ben Guerdane
30%
Draws
39%
CS Sfaxien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Sfaxien come out ahead of Ben Guerdane on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 20%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ben Guerdane CS Sfaxien
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 22
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs CS Sfaxien
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ben Guerdane Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CS Sfaxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Loulendo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ben Guerdane 36 / 100
CS Sfaxien 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ben Guerdane CS Sfaxien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ben Guerdane has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ben Guerdane's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CS Sfaxien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ben Guerdane VS CS Sfaxien
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ben Guerdane

(Home)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
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CS Sfaxien

(Away)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)