Sport Picks
Ben Guerdane vs Esperance Tunis
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane 
Match Events
22'
22'
Sub
Ben Hamida M. In: Dhaou H.
Out: Ben Hamida M.
22'
22'
Sub
Abcha J. In: Abdi W.
Out: Abcha J.
26'
26'
Sub
Samb M. In: Bida J.
Out: Samb M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Ben Guerdane and Esperance Tunis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esperance Tunis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esperance Tunis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Ben Guerdane haven't matched Esperance Tunis's recent run of results.
- Ben Guerdane are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 20%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ben Guerdane | Esperance Tunis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Esperance Tunis
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Ben Guerdane
4:0
May 25, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Ben Guerdane vs Esperance Tunis
0:3
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Ben Guerdane
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Esperance Tunis
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ben Guerdane Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Esperance Tunis Compare
Top Goalscorer Rafia H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ben Guerdane 42 / 100
Esperance Tunis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ben Guerdane Esperance Tunis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Ben Guerdane stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Ben Guerdane's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Esperance Tunis conceded in 39% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ben Guerdane VS Esperance Tunis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
17% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ben Guerdane
(Home) 14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Soliman
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Soliman
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
05 Apr
Ben Guerdane
0 : 0 Metlaoui
08 Mar
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Club Africain
Page 1 of 3
Esperance Tunis
(Away) 08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
06 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 0 San Pedro
04 Aug
Esperance Tunis
2 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3 Esperance Tunis
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3 Esperance Tunis
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)
