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Benburb vs Montrose

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benburb play Montrose in the Scottish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Benburb averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Montrose averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Benburb won 0, Montrose won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Benburb and 1.36 for Montrose. This points to a Benburb double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Benburb
24%
Draws
35%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Benburb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Benburb picked up more points recently compared to Montrose.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Benburb Clean Sheet 18%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benburb Montrose
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 8
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Benburb vs Montrose
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benburb Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Loudon E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinn A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benburb 41 / 100
Montrose 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benburb Montrose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Benburb or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Benburb attacking → ← attacking Montrose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benburb scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Montrose let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Benburb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montrose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88