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Bendel vs Barau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Bendel Logo

Bendel

4 - 1
FT
Barau Logo

Barau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Bendel and Barau finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bendel
20%
Draws
38%
Barau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Barau have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Bendel are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bendel Clean Sheet 68%
Barau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Barau
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Barau
4:1
Jan 29, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Barau
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 NPFL
Barau vs Bendel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 41 / 100
Barau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Barau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Bendel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Barau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
Page 1 of 6

Barau

(Away)
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1
Barau
23 Sept
Barau
2 : 0
Abia Warriors
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 7 5 1 1 12:7 16
2 Rivers United 7 4 3 0 13:2 15
3 Doma United 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Barau 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
5 Bendel 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Kano Pillars 7 2 5 0 11:7 11
7 Plateau United 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
8 Kwara 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
9 Ikorodu City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
10 Sporting Lagos 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
11 Katsina Utd 7 2 3 2 6:9 9
12 Niger Tornadoes 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
13 Shooting 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
14 Nasarawa United 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
15 Abia Warriors 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 Enyimba International 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
17 Ranchers Bees 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
18 Warri Wolves 7 2 1 4 3:6 7
19 Inter Lagos 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Kun Khalifa 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)