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Bendel vs Crown FC

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium, Benin City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bendel
15%
Draws
12%
Crown FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bendel have won more games recently than Crown FC.
  • Model gives Bendel a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Bendel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bendel, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bendel have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bendel Clean Sheet 20%
Crown FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Crown FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Federation Cup
Bendel vs Crown FC
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 NNL
Bendel vs Crown FC
4:0
Feb 24, 2021 NNL
Crown FC vs Bendel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 67 / 100
Crown FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Crown FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Crown FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Crown FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Crown FC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
06 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0
Bendel
Page 1 of 6

Crown FC

(Away)
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1
Crown FC
11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0
Crown FC
28 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Crown FC
25 Mar
Crown FC
2 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
14 Mar
Smart City
3 : 1
Crown FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Kwara 0
Sokoto United 1
De Sapele Lion 0
Adamawa Utd 1
Bendel 3
Crown FC 1
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Akwa United 1
Shooting 1
Kada Warriors 2
Wikki Tourists 3
Bayelsa United 1
Bida Lions 2
Warri Wolves 0
Flight FC Gboko 2
Mighty Jets 1
Rivers United 3
Rangers International 2
Ejigbo City 0
Nasarawa United 3
Kogi United 0
Plateau United 1
Ingas 1
Basira 2
Ikorodu City 2
Jigawa Golden Stars 0
Enyimba International 1
Gombe 0
Sunshine Stars U19 2
Warinje 1
Barau 1
Abakaliki 0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United 2
Adamawa Utd 0
Bendel 3
El Kanemi Warriors 4
Kada Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 3
Bida Lions 0
Flight FC Gboko 1
Rivers United 2
Nasarawa United 3
Plateau United 2
Basira 1
Ikorodu City 2
Enyimba International 1
Sunshine Stars U19 1
Barau 2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Flight FC Gboko 1
Nasarawa United 2
Plateau United 1
Ikorodu City 3
Barau 2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors 3
Wikki Tourists 1
Nasarawa United 1
Ikorodu City 2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Ikorodu City 0