Sport Picks

Nigeria

NPFL 2024/2025 Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium

Bendel

1 - 0

Heartland FC

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Sub

Ogunye A. In: Mohammed B.

Out: Ogunye A.

40'

Sub

Enaruna M. In: Onyinjekwu C.

Out: Enaruna M.

46'

Sub

Samuel W. In: Shimagande T.

Out: Samuel W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPFL 2024/2025 game between Bendel and Heartland FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bendel

39%

Draws

30%

Heartland FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bendel come out ahead of Heartland FC on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Bendel Clean Sheet 16%

Heartland FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bendel	Heartland FC
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	9	7
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 NPFL

Bendel vs Heartland FC

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Dec 15, 2024 NPFL

Heartland FC vs Bendel

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Apr 27, 2024 NPFL

Bendel vs Heartland FC

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Dec 6, 2023 NPFL

Heartland FC vs Bendel

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

May 24, 2023 Federation Cup

Heartland FC vs Bendel

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyinjekwu C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Heartland FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 31 / 100

Heartland FC 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bendel Heartland FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Heartland FC conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Bendel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Heartland FC

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Remo Stars	38	22	5	11	49:31	71
2	Rivers United	38	18	10	10	35:29	64
3	Abia Warriors	38	18	6	14	43:40	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	17	8	13	60:45	59
5	Bendel	38	15	11	12	39:33	56
6	Enyimba International	38	14	13	11	38:35	55
7	Plateau United	38	16	9	13	40:38	54
8	Shooting	38	15	9	14	39:38	54
9	Kano Pillars	38	15	8	15	44:45	53
10	Rangers International	38	14	10	14	42:34	52
11	Bayelsa United	38	13	13	12	39:36	52
12	Nasarawa United	38	14	10	14	40:41	52
13	Niger Tornadoes	38	14	9	15	40:46	51
14	Kwara	38	14	8	16	38:36	50
15	Katsina Utd	38	14	8	16	30:36	50
16	El Kanemi Warriors	38	12	13	13	34:41	49
17	Heartland FC	38	12	12	14	33:34	48
18	Akwa United	38	12	8	18	35:39	44
19	Sunshine Stars	38	11	8	19	34:51	41
20	Lobi	38	6	10	22	29:56	28