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Bendel vs Ikorodu City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Bendel and Ikorodu City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bendel
20%
Draws
29%
Ikorodu City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bendel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bendel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bendel Clean Sheet 12%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bendel Ikorodu City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Bendel
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Ikorodu City
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Bendel
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bendel 47 / 100
Ikorodu City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bendel Ikorodu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Ikorodu City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Bendel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bendel VS Ikorodu City
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bendel

(Home)
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
Page 1 of 6

Ikorodu City

(Away)
04 Oct
Rivers United
2 : 0
Ikorodu City
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0
Ikorodu City
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Rangers International
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 7 5 1 1 12:7 16
2 Rivers United 7 4 3 0 13:2 15
3 Doma United 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Barau 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
5 Bendel 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Kano Pillars 7 2 5 0 11:7 11
7 Plateau United 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
8 Kwara 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
9 Ikorodu City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
10 Sporting Lagos 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
11 Katsina Utd 7 2 3 2 6:9 9
12 Niger Tornadoes 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
13 Shooting 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
14 Nasarawa United 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
15 Abia Warriors 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 Enyimba International 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
17 Ranchers Bees 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
18 Warri Wolves 7 2 1 4 3:6 7
19 Inter Lagos 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Kun Khalifa 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)