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Benevento vs Audace Cerignola

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Mignani G.
35' Event
Gambale D.
52' Event
Lamesta D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Benevento
20%
Draws
40%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola haven't matched Benevento's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Audace Cerignola a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Benevento Clean Sheet 14%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
2:2
Dec 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Benevento
0:4
Apr 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Benevento
2:4
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Feb 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Audace Cerignola
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Mignani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamesta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambale D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 23 / 100
Audace Cerignola 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Audace Cerignola conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Benevento has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Audace Cerignola
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
Page 1 of 7

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)