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Benevento vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benevento host Cesena in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Benevento at 1.79 goals for, 1.14 against; Cesena at 1.28 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Benevento have won 1 to Cesena's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2017, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring Benevento. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Benevento
35%
Draws
32%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Cesena on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Benevento taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Benevento Clean Sheet 13%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Cesena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2017 Serie B
Cesena vs Benevento
4:1
Dec 5, 2016 Serie B
Benevento vs Cesena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 40 / 100
Cesena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cesena let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Benevento has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Cesena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
19 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 1
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)