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Benevento vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tumminello M.
32'
Sub
Valietti F. In: Romeo F.
Out: Valietti F.
43'
Scognamillo S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Benevento and Foggia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Benevento
6%
Draws
4%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Foggia on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Benevento taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benevento have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%
Foggia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Foggia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Foggia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Benevento
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Benevento
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Foggia
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Foggia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumminello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 95 / 100
Foggia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benevento scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Foggia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Benevento stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Foggia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

Foggia

(Away)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)