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Benevento vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Di Paolo S.
23' Event
Tumminello M.
43' Event
Maita M.

AI Match Summary

Benevento in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Benevento
35%
Draws
24%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benevento lately — more wins on the board than Siracusa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Benevento taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benevento here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Benevento Clean Sheet 20%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benevento Siracusa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Siracusa
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Benevento
0:3
Feb 6, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Siracusa vs Benevento
1:0
Sep 19, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Benevento vs Siracusa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumminello M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maita M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Paolo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacciardi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benevento 36 / 100
Siracusa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benevento Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Siracusa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Benevento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benevento VS Siracusa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.4
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Benevento

(Home)
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1
Benevento
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2
Benevento
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Benevento
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Siracusa

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 3
Atalanta U23
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)