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Benfica B vs AD Merida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica B in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Benfica B
15%
Draws
26%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Merida haven't matched Benfica B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benfica B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 20%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B AD Merida
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Benfica B vs AD Merida
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 58 / 100
AD Merida 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Benfica B scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

AD Merida let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Benfica B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS AD Merida
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
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AD Merida

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
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