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Benfica B vs AD Merida

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica B in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Benfica B
15%
Draws
16%
AD Merida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • AD Merida haven't matched Benfica B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benfica B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 20%
AD Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica B AD Merida
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Benfica B vs AD Merida
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica B 85 / 100
AD Merida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica B AD Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Benfica B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Benfica B scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: AD Merida conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica B VS AD Merida
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica B

(Home)
10 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 0
Leixoes
01 Aug
Atletico CP
0 : 1
Benfica B
25 Jul
Benfica B
4 : 0
AD Merida
22 Jul
Benfica B
2 : 1
Al Nassr
18 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Torreense
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AD Merida

(Away)
07 Aug
Leganes
3 : 0
AD Merida
01 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 3
Betis B
28 Jul
AD Merida
0 : 2
Al Nassr
25 Jul
Benfica B
4 : 0
AD Merida
23 May
Osasuna B
1 : 2
AD Merida
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