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Benfica Luanda vs Academica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola 2017
Sat, Mar 11, 2017
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica Luanda host Academica in the Girabola 2017. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Benfica Luanda have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded recently, against Academica's 0.73 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Benfica Luanda slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.36) point toward Benfica Luanda. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica Luanda
15%
Draws
0%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica Luanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica have managed 0.73 goals a game lately — Benfica Luanda are scoring more at 1.2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Benfica Luanda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Benfica Luanda Clean Sheet 18%
Academica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Luanda Academica
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Academica
0:0
Jul 24, 2016 Girabola
Academica vs Benfica Luanda
0:0
Mar 4, 2016 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Academica
1:0
Sep 30, 2015 Girabola
Academica vs Benfica Luanda
1:2
May 15, 2015 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Academica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica Luanda 85 / 100
Academica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Luanda Academica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Luanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Benfica Luanda's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Academica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica Luanda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Academica
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica Luanda

(Home)
05 Nov
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 3
Benfica Luanda
29 Oct
Benfica Luanda
0 : 0
Petro Atletico
23 Oct
ASA
1 : 4
Benfica Luanda
14 Oct
Benfica Luanda
3 : 1
Interclube
09 Oct
Kabuscorp
1 : 0
Benfica Luanda
Page 1 of 3

Academica

(Away)
20 Sept
Desportivo Huila
1 : 0
Academica
10 Sept
Interclube
2 : 0
Academica
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
23 Aug
Wiliete
2 : 0
Academica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 19 8 3 44:14 65
2 Petro Atletico 30 20 2 8 46:20 62
3 Sagrada 30 15 8 7 34:23 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 11 6 40:29 50
5 Interclube 30 12 12 6 34:19 48
6 C.R.D. Libolo 30 13 9 8 41:23 48
7 Caala 30 12 5 13 24:27 41
8 Desportivo Huila 30 11 8 11 23:28 41
9 Progresso Sambizanga 30 11 8 11 34:30 41
10 Primeiro de Maio 30 12 4 14 40:49 40
11 Bravos do Maquis 30 8 9 13 19:26 33
12 Progresso da Lunda Sul 30 8 8 14 28:39 32
13 Academica 30 8 6 16 39:53 30
14 Desportivo JGM 30 8 6 16 26:55 30
15 ASA 30 6 8 16 21:37 26
16 Santa Rita 30 4 8 18 24:45 20
17 Benfica Luanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2018 (Qualification)