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Benfica Luanda vs Sagrada

Angola Angola

Girabola 2017
Sun, May 7, 2017
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Benfica Luanda host Sagrada in the Girabola 2017. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Benfica Luanda at 1.2 goals for, 0.8 against; Sagrada at 1.13 for, 1.42 against. Past meetings favor Benfica Luanda slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2017, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.24) point toward Benfica Luanda. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Benfica Luanda
20%
Draws
23%
Sagrada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica Luanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sagrada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Benfica Luanda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Benfica Luanda Clean Sheet 19%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Luanda Sagrada
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Sagrada
0:0
Aug 21, 2016 Girabola
Sagrada vs Benfica Luanda
0:0
Apr 13, 2016 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Sagrada
1:0
Aug 1, 2015 Girabola
Sagrada vs Benfica Luanda
0:1
Mar 8, 2015 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs Sagrada
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica Luanda 49 / 100
Sagrada 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Luanda Sagrada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Luanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica Luanda scored in 60% of their last 15 outings.

Sagrada has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Benfica Luanda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sagrada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sagrada
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica Luanda

(Home)
05 Nov
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 3
Benfica Luanda
29 Oct
Benfica Luanda
0 : 0
Petro Atletico
23 Oct
ASA
1 : 4
Benfica Luanda
14 Oct
Benfica Luanda
3 : 1
Interclube
09 Oct
Kabuscorp
1 : 0
Benfica Luanda
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Sagrada

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 19 8 3 44:14 65
2 Petro Atletico 30 20 2 8 46:20 62
3 Sagrada 30 15 8 7 34:23 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 11 6 40:29 50
5 Interclube 30 12 12 6 34:19 48
6 C.R.D. Libolo 30 13 9 8 41:23 48
7 Caala 30 12 5 13 24:27 41
8 Desportivo Huila 30 11 8 11 23:28 41
9 Progresso Sambizanga 30 11 8 11 34:30 41
10 Primeiro de Maio 30 12 4 14 40:49 40
11 Bravos do Maquis 30 8 9 13 19:26 33
12 Progresso da Lunda Sul 30 8 8 14 28:39 32
13 Academica 30 8 6 16 39:53 30
14 Desportivo JGM 30 8 6 16 26:55 30
15 ASA 30 6 8 16 21:37 26
16 Santa Rita 30 4 8 18 24:45 20
17 Benfica Luanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2018 (Qualification)