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Benfica U19 vs FC Porto U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Umeh J.
11' Event
Umeh J.
17' Event
Oliveira G.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Benfica U19 and FC Porto U19 finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Benfica U19
40%
Draws
29%
FC Porto U19
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto U19 come out ahead of Benfica U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U19 FC Porto U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 3 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Benfica U19
3:3
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs FC Porto U19
4:4
May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs FC Porto U19
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Benfica U19
2:3
May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs FC Porto U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeh J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Afonso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

FC Porto U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunha D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U19 30 / 100
FC Porto U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U19 FC Porto U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U19 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

FC Porto U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U19 VS FC Porto U19
3 Goals Scored 3.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 63%