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Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ferreirinha A.
20' Event
Almeida T.
29' Event
Semedo A.

AI Match Summary

Benfica U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Benfica U19
30%
Draws
9%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leiria U19 haven't matched Benfica U19's recent run of results.
  • Benfica U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:0
May 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:2
Mar 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreirinha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Leiria U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U19 84 / 100
Leiria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U19's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Leiria U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Benfica U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U19 VS Leiria U19
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
Page 1 of 7

Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Famalicao U19 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
6 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Alverca U19 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
10 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)