Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica U19 vs Mafra U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Rodrigues T.
69' Event
Umeh J.
73' Event
Umeh J.

AI Match Summary

Benfica U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Benfica U19
30%
Draws
27%
Mafra U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benfica U19 lately — more wins on the board than Mafra U19.
  • Model gives Benfica U19 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U19 Mafra U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.61 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Benfica U19
1:1
Dec 17, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Mafra U19
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Benfica U19
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Mafra U19
5:1
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Benfica U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeh J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mafra U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U19 95 / 100
Mafra U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U19 Mafra U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U19's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mafra U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Benfica U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U19 VS Mafra U19
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
Page 1 of 7

Mafra U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)