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Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Silva F.
70' Event
Neves D.
90' Event
Silva M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Benfica U19 and Rio Ave U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Benfica U19
20%
Draws
28%
Rio Ave U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica U19 come out ahead of Rio Ave U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Benfica U19 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica U19 Rio Ave U19
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 20 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Benfica U19
1:1
May 13, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
4:0
Mar 13, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Rio Ave U19 vs Benfica U19
3:3
May 9, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Rio Ave U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neves D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Rio Ave U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica U19 95 / 100
Rio Ave U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica U19 Rio Ave U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U19 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (33 games).

Benfica U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rio Ave U19 conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Benfica U19 VS Rio Ave U19
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
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Rio Ave U19

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
23 Aug
Rio Ave U19
1 : 0
Vizela U19
15 Aug
Feirense U19
2 : 1
Rio Ave U19
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