Sport Picks
Benfica U19 vs Tondela U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
Castro G.
50'
50'
Goncalves J. P.
59'
59'
Ferreira A.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Benfica U19 and Tondela U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Benfica U19's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica U19 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica U19 | Tondela U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Benfica U19
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Tondela U19
4:0
May 10, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Benfica U19
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Tondela U19
6:0
Dec 7, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Benfica U19
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goncalves J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Tondela U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica U19 95 / 100
Tondela U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica U19 Tondela U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Benfica U19's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Benfica U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tondela U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Benfica U19 VS Tondela U19
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1 Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1 SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2 Torreense U19
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1 SC Farense U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2 Torreense U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2 Leiria U19
06 May
Benfica U19
2 : 1 Rio Ave U19
Page 1 of 4
Tondela U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
21 Feb
Belenenses U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
24 Jan
Academico Viseu U19
2 : 1 Tondela U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
