Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Perez S.
28'
28'
Belotti A.
Assist: Bruma
44'
44'
Reisinho M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Benfica and Boavista finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
- Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Benfica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.65 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Boavista
3:0
Sep 23, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Benfica
0:3
Jan 19, 2024 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Boavista
2:0
Aug 14, 2023 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Benfica
3:2
Feb 20, 2023 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Boavista
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Belotti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pavlidis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08
Boavista Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica 95 / 100
Boavista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 97% of their last 34 outings.
Boavista has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Solid form: Benfica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Benfica VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1 Hearts
Page 1 of 4
Boavista
(Away) 17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2 FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5 Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1 Boavista
05 May
AFS
1 : 2 Boavista
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Boavista
07 Apr
Rio Ave
0 : 2 Boavista
16 Mar
Moreirense
1 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88:27 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84:28 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:30 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55:30 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:53 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:44 | 45 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:50 | 40 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:55 | 38 |
| 12 | Arouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32:50 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24:50 | 29 |
| 16 | AFS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25:60 | 27 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:46 | 27 |
| 18 | Boavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24:59 | 24 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
