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Benfica vs Gala

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Niki
37' Event
Leong W.
45' Event
Niki

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Benfica
15%
Draws
53%
Gala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gala lately — more wins on the board than Benfica.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Benfica have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Gala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Gala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.2 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
5:0
Feb 27, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Gala
2:1
May 10, 2025 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Niki
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gala Compare

Top Goalscorer Leong W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 30 / 100
Gala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Gala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Benfica found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Gala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Gala
2.75 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Gala

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
04 Jul
Gala
3 : 2
G. Universe
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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