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Benfica vs Kei Lun Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Benfica Logo

Benfica

11 - 0
FT
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2014 game between Benfica and Kei Lun finished 11-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Benfica
20%
Draws
36%
Kei Lun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Kei Lun on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Elite League 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Kei Lun
Matches Played 56 36
Wins 38 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.98 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2017 Elite League
Benfica vs Kei Lun
2:0
Mar 19, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:4
Apr 17, 2016 Elite League
Benfica vs Kei Lun
2:0
Jan 31, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:7
May 25, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Benfica
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 29 / 100
Kei Lun 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Kei Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica scored in 84% of their last 56 games.

Defensive concern: Kei Lun conceded in 89% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Benfica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 12

Kei Lun

(Away)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
Promotion - Presidents Cup 2015 (Group Stage)