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Benfica vs Lai Chi

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Benfica Logo

Benfica

4 - 0
FT
Lai Chi Logo

Lai Chi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2016 game between Benfica and Lai Chi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Benfica
15%
Draws
28%
Lai Chi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Benfica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Lai Chi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.91 5.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Elite League
Benfica vs Lai Chi
8:0
Jan 25, 2018 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Benfica
0:5
Apr 30, 2017 Elite League
Benfica vs Lai Chi
7:0
Feb 12, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Benfica
0:8
May 1, 2016 Elite League
Benfica vs Lai Chi
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 83 / 100
Lai Chi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Lai Chi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lai Chi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Benfica's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lai Chi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Lai Chi

(Away)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)