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Benfica vs Tak Chun Ka I Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nascimento Josecler F.
Own Goal
16' Event
Alves A.
20' Event
Chan M.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Benfica
15%
Draws
0%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 2.7 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.94 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2024 Elite League
Benfica vs Tak Chun Ka I
8:0
Jun 24, 2023 Elite League
Benfica vs Tak Chun Ka I
11:0
Apr 1, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Benfica
1:4
May 7, 2022 Elite League
Benfica vs Tak Chun Ka I
5:0
Jan 30, 2022 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Benfica
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 83 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tak Chun Ka I let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.60 goals as a typical output.

Tak Chun Ka I's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Benfica found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)