Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica vs Villarreal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Moreno G.
46'
Sub
Lenglet C. In: Manu Silva
Out: Lenglet C.
46'
Sub
Mourino S. In: Perez A.
Out: Mourino S.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Benfica
15%
Draws
14%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Villarreal.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Benfica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Benfica Clean Sheet 19%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Villarreal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.72 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Benfica vs Villarreal
2:0
Nov 2, 2005 Champions League
Benfica vs Villarreal
0:1
Oct 18, 2005 Champions League
Villarreal vs Benfica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlidis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Villarreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 85 / 100
Villarreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Villarreal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Benfica remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Villarreal
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Benfica

(Home)
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4
Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
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Villarreal

(Away)
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
14 Sept
Villarreal
1 : 2
Betis
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
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