Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Benfica vs Villarreal

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Moreno G.
46'
Sub
Lenglet C. In: Manu
Out: Lenglet C.
46'
Sub
Mourino S. In: Perez A.
Out: Mourino S.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Benfica
22%
Draws
18%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Villarreal.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Benfica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 12%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benfica Villarreal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2005 Champions League
Benfica vs Villarreal
0:1
Oct 18, 2005 Champions League
Villarreal vs Benfica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlidis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Villarreal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benfica 56 / 100
Villarreal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benfica Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Villarreal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Benfica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Benfica VS Villarreal
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%